To put it succinctly, I don't trust any of you. Maybe it's just my relative nubness, but nobody *screams* scum or town to me yet, which is unfortunate. I was very much leaning towards CG being town, but given the relative sophistication of this game, an accusation of a friend to throw off suspicion seems very reasonable. The kestegs/bad ash connection seems a bit flimsy, I can see how one could draw those connections, but I think only a very very bad player would be so obvious. If the train for kegs gets derailed at any point today, then they could both be mafia. If it doesn't get derailed, and kegs is vanilla mafia, phil could still be a mafia power role giving himself extra lynch protection by sacrificing kegs early on.
The claim talk is all quite weird. No benefit to any of it for the town, but maybe cdm just wants to keep playing the game as long as possible? Kestegs semi claim of a power role, also to no benefit, seems to indicate that if he lives through the night, without a nk taking down a mafia because of some possible protection, that he must be mafia and is just trying to derail the lynch for today.
I think those are all my thoughts? Still not sure enough about anyone to actually vote for anyone.