Returning to the Roots - Mini mafia game

Well youve led a strong case for two lynches in the same day and unfairly another one yesterday. That's not OK to me.


Can I get a vote count?

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Well, this is probably going to look a bit confusing on my phone, but is the best I can do. I'll number the corresponding responses and quotes.

The reasons...


1.
From a jailer's point of view, they have less than a 1/9 chance to catch mafia since they don't know if saved the victim or blocked the hitman. From a mafia point of view, the jailer has a 1/9 chance to block the mafia hitman. This post looks closer to the mafia point of view than townie point of view and it also occurred before the goon = hitman breadcrumb.


2.
This post has a couple of things.

As of Solar Ice's post, kestegs made post 21, 24 and 28. Post 21 and 24 were OT type posts. Post 28 contained statistics in a manner found in many mafia games.

I disagree with SI that kestegs didn't spam. I think 21 and 24 are indicative of typical kestegs postings. Despite that, kestegs didn't correct SI. kestegs accepted SI's premise that kestegs wasn't his usual self. Accepting the premise of a question is commonly done to ingratiate one's self with the question asker. Politicians do it in interviews and press conferences. Criminals do it under interrogation. Mafia have done it. If they do it, it's usually in a deflecting manner and that's what this post appears to do. SI's main question looks to be "do you have anything else to add" and a result of kestegs reply is a scumlist.


3.
The main reason I'm quoting this post is the reason given for Phillinnicus' placement on the scumlist. By itself, that isn't disturbing. When I asked kestegs about the chicken and egg scenario, I knew kestegs mentioned already having a scummy opinion of Phillinnicus. I asked kestegs which posts (made before post 61) led to that opinion. kestegs reply pointed to posts made around post 85. It looks like kestegs knew Phillinnicus was scummy even before Phillinnicus made the statements that made him look scummy. Time travel!



Post 64. Just pointing out the underlined sentence. I'll reference it later.


4.
This post occurrred 1min after kestegs replied to several phillinnicus posts and included a vote.

It's a textbook mafia ploy. I recognize it because I've done it many times. He has options. Not voting Moar isn't too scummy since he's voting is primary suspect. Later voting Moar wouldn't be too scummy because he agreed with the reason given to vote Moar. There are reasons and explanations for any course of action he takes. Additionally, this post throws support for a Moar lynch. Posts like this make it easier for others to vote Moar.

I'm not sure if I would have unvoted Moar if I saw this post before the end of the day but I would have definitely raised a ruckus.



Another post with multiple issues.

5.
"What are the chances that mafia are found among this group of players that doesn't include you?"
"High I'd say."

That's not an inaccurate translation. Finding mafia in a group of 4 players has better odds than finding mafia in a group of 7 players. A concensus that at least one mafioso among Moar votes has the effect of making it easy to ignore the non-Moar voters.


6.
Another scumlist is given and it includes SI, who was a Moar voter. SI was on kestegs' D1 scum list as well. Funny thing though. Remember that underlined bit I said I would reference later? Look back at it now.

If kestegs said "those two people" posted to his satisfaction or not posted in post 64, why does 2 or the original 3 still appear on the scumlist in post 121? I take it I'm the "not posted" player of post 64. If so, then either SI or Phillinnicus should be the "responded to kestegs satisfaction" half. It looks like kestegs post 64 removes SI from the scumlist since Phillinnicus received attention and a vote. Why did SI go back on the scumlist?

It looks like post 64 is meant to get SI to back off. It looks like it worked.



I admit I had to look back and see if kestegs mentioned his reasons for saying SI was scum (looking back was when I picked up post 28 being relevant with a mafia hitman point of view).

What I see I wouldn't characterize as kestegs giving reasons SI is scummy. Instead, I see reasons why we shouldn't listen to SI when SI says kestegs is scummy. I urge everyone to look over kestegs D1 posts and post their thoughts on the matter. (In other words, how many players will read this sentence?)

7.


How true. But who had the second case? I'd say it was you. Zokar posted after you did.

8.

I already referenced this.



Mass claim works best when it happens at least a couple days before LYLO. That would be today in case anyone is keeping track. I'm in favor of mass claim today. Perhaps surprisingly, I would have been fine with a mass claim on D1.

Not advocating a mass claim also makes it more like a cop or jailer keeps their yap shut. Their silence benefits mafia.

9.


SI has a strange way of trying to save his scum buddy by placing his scum buddy at Lock-1. If phillinnicus and SI are scum buddies, I think bussing is the proper term. No way SI did what he did in order to try and save a fellow scum buddy. I know you've talked about bussing before so your lack of it's use here leads me to believe you don't truly think both SI and phillinnicus are scum.

10.

More textbook mafia action. "I didn't vote for a townie that was lynched because TWO others were more suspicious." You would have voted to avoid a no lynch yet you also made sure to support the basic reason given by every voter.

1. I didn't even realize the jailer could save someone like a doc. I know I should probably know that by now, but it's not a role I've ever actually had.

2. The train I accepted the premise is because I had been absent from the thread for a bit. (Maybe 10 hours or so? Don't remember for sure) I didn't really feel he was do much accusing me of what I had posted before, but that I had not posted at all.

3. This doesn't really make sense. Either that or you intentionally poorly worded your original question to try to trap me. I really can't look at the context while I'm posting this, so I'll try to go back and check that when I have a better chance.

4. When I made the write about not associating goon with hitman it was purely for reference. I didn't expect to have moar locked by the time I got back to the thread before I had a chance to actually express my opinion. When I did get back it no longer seemed relevant to express my opinion on whether I thought she was scum or not.

5. It is an inaccurate translation, actually. Translated it would read: "yes, you're (si) on that list.

6. SI has never left my scum list since I first posted it. What I meant was that he responded and I got the information I wanted. I never stated that my opinion of him changed. I also don't think Phil was even referenced in that response, it was only you and si from what I remember.

7. I made a case for moar's lynch? Show me.

8. You're in favor of a mass claim at the end of the day? Scum move. I'll explain why: it's obvious that if there is a cop they don't have a guilty read on scum, because there's no reason they would have not come forward by now. It's also obvious that any other power role doesn't have any incriminating evidence since someone died last night. So what do we possibly have to gain from a mass claim today besides giving mafia easier targets?

I could go with a mass claim after a power role comes forward with info, or possibly in lylo.

9. I actually realized later that what you said is true and that what I said didn't make much sense. My theory was that solar/phil decided that Phil was a lost cause and that they should buss him. Then they saw an opening to lynch someone else and solar jumped ship. It's a bit of a stretch, but I think it's a plausible theory.

10. Yea, I can see your point there. Like I said earlier, I expected to be able to come back and give my opinion later. That's why it was a purely factual post, not an opinionated post.
 
I'd bet that I have reasons no one else comes up with but I don't think anyone would take the bet.



I'm the sole authority for all points I give out whether the points are townie or scum. If you want to give out points then do so.

No, nobody did take it, not surprisingly.

This is true, but it was a pretty hardcore lamist IMO.
 
Highlighting the questions and answers.

@Bad Ash, Solar Ice, Gwaihir

If you asked the questions I asked, would you be satisfied with the answers? Does any answer look townie to you? Does any answer look scummy to you?

Ankeli - Which post given as reasoning doesn't matter - not really town or scum response.
Phil - I remember in my first games thinking like this as town - if anyone included me in a scumlist without reason, I was annoyed. How could they think that I was a mafia when I am obviously town? As mafia I remember being less annoyed and more "crap, how can they know?" While I have several other issues with Phils play, this is not one of them. On the other hand, not changing your vote because they will be locked anyways is very scummy. That sounds like he knew they were townie and figured why bring heat on myself by lynching a townie? Second part is very scummy, while first not as much.
kegs - people probably used both and only bothered to quote one. not really town or scum response.


Sorry for having a life outside of mafia.

I didn't even really do the things you said, but whatever. If you rally think that me "lurking" is a scum tell, then okay I guess.

My list:

Gory: first vote is a bit troubling
Phil: he's felt scummy all game, can't exactly put it to words, but it's there past what others have said.
Solar: omgus if you will, but it's a piss poor reason to vote for me and he knows it.

That was sarcasm. Apology accepted rejected.

I think enough questions have been asked and those two people have already responded to my satisfaction or not posted since the questions have been posed and I have no further questions at this time.

There's no reason to vote right now, I only vote early if I'm actually convinced of something, not just on suspicion.

Yes, I saw your " ;) " scumtell.

Yes, those people are on my scum list. No, I am not convinced any of them are for sure scum yet. I already explained why I didn't vote for any of them yet.

I most certainly did, and I really didn't mince any words about how I felt about solar yesterday.

I didn't make the association with his post being role fishing until BA said it. I can see his point on it, but it's a little bit of a stretch. Either way, the post was super scummy.

So I meant to get back to this but didn't have time yesterday, and it seems Gory beat me to it. kegs, I asked you if you actually explained why SI was on your scum list. Your response is the last quote (saying you were very clear about why you felt he was scum), and every other post you made in response to or talking about SI is listed above that. Nowhere do I see you give any case with the exception of OMGUS in your scum list.

Vote: kestegs

2 mafia left. SI removes vote 3 from Phil, BA switched over to him. If kegs is mafia, that to me looks like BA trying to make sure Phil gets lynched today, but just did not want to be on the train if he could avoid it.
 
I'm up, I'm up! Sheesh.

Current votes:
Phillinnicus (3) : Ankeli; kestegs; Bad Ash
kestegs (2): Goryani; Gwaihir
Bad Ash (1): Solar Ice

Four votes to lock + lynch.
 
@goryani and gwaihir

If Phil is town the most obvious answer is what?

If Phil is anti-town the most obvious answer is what and why?

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@goryani and gwaihir

If Phil is town the most obvious answer is what?

If Phil is anti-town the most obvious answer is what and why?

Sent from my Galaxy Nexus using Tapatalk 2

Obvious answer to Gory's earlier question, or obvious answer to who the other mafia is? Could you clarify?
 
My internet is horrific the last two days, and today I can barely open a web page. I shall give thoughts/replies hopefully within an hour or so.
 
I'm trying to decide between two people for my vote, does anyone know how much time is left in this day phase?
I don't want to come back on after my nap and realize I missed my vote.
 
Both Goryani and Gwaihir make a convincing case against kestegs.
Goryani's scumhunting is top-notch, and I'm completely convinced he's town as well.

Vote: kestegs?
 
I want to post more and will but quoting is like walking over hot coals atm.

Post 97:
"As I love to tell my kids: Life's not fair. ". You just admit that you have Phillinnicus on your scumlist unfairly. You vote him in the same post. Contradiction of massive scum proportions. he later aske you why and how you think that he is Mafia and gets no reply.

I can't tell if you think it's SI or BA who's trying to save a scum buddy.

Neither can I. and he does this here as well:

I most certainly did, and I really didn't mince any words about how I felt about solar yesterday.

I didn't make the association with his post being role fishing until BA said it. I can see his point on it, but it's a little bit of a stretch. Either way, the post was super scummy.

More ambiguation. No clarity. Who is the "his" the "that"?? Posts like this only serve the poster to explain himself away easier should the need arise.

Highlighting the questions and answers.

@Bad Ash, Solar Ice, Gwaihir

If you asked the questions I asked, would you be satisfied with the answers? Does any answer look townie to you? Does any answer look scummy to you?

None of the responses have struck me as Town. the main reason is the fact that not one of the three players you directed the questions to actually answered your questions. All three responded yet all three have evaded with ease. Furthermore:

Ankeli's response to your question:

Cant tell can be taken as either an honest answer or an evasive one. "I can't be bothered to tell" more appropriate? I do not like how he is quick to shrug off any pressure on him yet does not seem to be interested in focusing on more than one person. In post 162 is the first time he gives an opinion on who else may be Mafia.

Phillinnicus response:

Noob card, as per entire game. No effort. Not Town.

"Also, I was just kinda ragey at kestegs for putting me on an innocent little scumlist. :P So I didn't really bother changing my vote because it looked like Moar was going to be locked anyway"

Phillinnicus, who would you have voted for had Moar not been an obvious lynch to you?


kestegs reply:

Evasive as hell. Urges a vote on Moar while voting Phil. Knew Moar was Town? Very likely.

So you want others to do your dirty work?

who made you the authority on giving out townie points? Sounds like you think you've got town cred all of a sudden.

And you think you do?


I see that your current suspect list is topped by Bad Ash and Phillinnicus. Are your suspicions of kestegs and Ankeli alleviated? If so, what caused those suspicions to wane?

No they are not and were not at the time. What made my suspicions of Ankeli wane now is the fact that he is actually considering kestegs as Mafia.
 
Ok so I am going to try and logic this out. I am the cop and I investigated Kestegs last night. Why? Becuase he DIDNT vote for Moar and I am of the mindset of following lynch trains to find scum. Much more dangerous mafia who didnt vote Moar.

So people with votes on Phil:
Ankeli, Me, Kestegs. Two confirmed town.

IMO before Goryani went all in on Kestegs THERE WAS A LEGITIMATE CLAIM TO LYNCH PHIL. Solar jumped in and out as well.

Why I believe Ankeli to be town:
Jumped on Phil and hasn't wavered and no one else jumped in and stayed in when there was enough reason to lynch him 30 hours ago. If Ankeli had a scum buddy I am fairly confident Phil would be locked at this point.

Why Ankeli might be mafia:
Phil could be town and his partner could be Solar Ice or steering clear (I DO NOT FIND THIS LIKELY)

Why Solar Ice is town:
Again, Voted Phil, but unvoted after realizing there was a lot of time in the day. Phil had a good case to go and he had no reason to do this and no one else jumped and voted for Phil after him

Why Solar could be anti-town:
Phil could be town and he could be partnered with Ankeli and is worried about keeping his distance.

PHIL, Gory, Gwaihir:

I have a very strong feeling our two mafia are in this group. To me, Ankeli is the most town player in this game who I haven't cleared, and if I hold true to that theory, and PHIL IS TOWN, than Why would Gory and Gwaihir build a case for kestegs? There was absolutely no reason to. Zero. They had a target they could have focused on, built a case against, and been scot free in their thinking.

but they didnt.

They are building a case (which IS a pretty good one) against a verified townie from a sane cop.

Phil's lynch will tell us everything we need to know. If he is scum we got our two picks for tomorrow, and if he is town, I think Ank and Solar Ice are good targets.

There could be a much higher game going on right now similiar to Phar bussing his own man, but in a game with 9 people to start, now at 7, I dont think the mafia have that luxury. It would be way to risky to throw a guy under the bus right now and half your chance of winning the game.


Why you should trust me: I have zero reason to support kestegs as the cop right now. If he was my mafia buddy I would have gladly followed gorys claim and gone along with the plan and tried to play under the radar. 1 vs 5 is not enough of a disadvantage for me to risk my neck right now and come out with this.
 
Obvious as to who is mafia

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If Phil is town: I would say you, especially if kegs is mafia.
If Phil is mafia: Less clear, although I think Gory and SI are both options.

Just saw post

Unvote: kestegs
 
I was waiting as long as possible to try and get as much info as I could, but didnt think that was wise to wait longer.

Solar Ice I think could be further cleared by not voting in his last post when he could have gone either way without drawing a lot of heat at all (if him and ank are a team that is, he could have voted Stegs to distance, or Phil to help his pal)

Why I dont believe Gory and Gwaihir are a team:

They have day talk and could have just gone after Phil. It would be much more of a red flag for both of them to be building this stegs case together than not knowing he was town.

The building the Kestegs train when a Phil one was in place and valid is the sticking point of all of this.
 
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