Vote water_moon
Either both she and goltar are mafia or townies. The fact wm is supporting no lynching, a tactic that favours the mafia, I believe she is mafia.
Interesting. Though you might be right on their roles, as far as I see it it's also possible one of them is mafia and the other not. Why do you think both are on the same side?
On another note, why does no lynching favour the mafia at this point? As you might be aware, last game I pointed out that it was better to lynch no one than to lynch another townie. The person who jumped on that was Skoolbus, leading me to suspect him as mafia to play the witness card since he'd already voted for me, and I did not want to get lynched, in the end Skoolbus was murdered by the mafia as well (remember the schoolbus?).
The difference is that this time, no one was killed, so there is no reason to lynch anyone. Anyway, the chance of the village idiot being lynched (and thus an instant loss) is just too big, although you seem to be the main contender for that role.
This time a few different people are jumping at people who vote to lynch no one, apart from you, there's also Jaago, who acted much like Skoolbus did in last game. And, I don't think it was clearly concluded last game that it was best to still lynch someone even if you haven't got a clue. Besides, there's a new variable in play, the village idiot. In addition, there is one mafia member less, and I think there are more participants in total, so the chance of lynching a mafia member is lower. The chance of lynching the village idiot is thus also low, but it's far more damage (instant loss) than lynching a townie. As far as I'm concerned, those people jumping on people who vote to lynch nobody due to lack of information might be townies (as Skoolbus turned out to be last game), or might be mafiosi (thinking that everyone knows that Skoolbus turned out to be a townie).
Now there is one thing, Goltar did misunderstand the role of the village idiot and thought that the village idiot would win if killed by the mafia. So it might be that the mafia thought as well they should not kill anyone out of fear of killing the village idiot. If Goltar is mafia that's all the more likely.
Now Jaago and Goltar were the first to reply during the day, making it unlikely that they're mafia. However, it might be that they thought that by replying quickly people would think that since the mafia was sleeping or so they would sort of prove their innocence.
On another note, Goltar, you said you've got some ideas about Water_Moon's role, care to share? Now she said she'd seen the doctor out and about, so that could mean she's the cop and investigated the person who is the doctor, or it's just roleplaying in response to Skoolbus mentioning that the doctor did send a pm.
And to Skoolbus, you mentioned the doctor being active, and it seems pretty obvious (also from what you wrote) the mafia as a group was not active. It could be that the crooked detective by him- or herself did at least send a pm indicating no one would be taken into custody, so everyone would get the chance to discuss matters and make themselves suspect. I feel that by indicating that the doctor was active, the mafia was not, and no word on the rest there is something unbalanced. I'm not sure it's a good idea, but it might be, to reveal whether the others that should pm you each night did so this first night. You do not risk revealing whether any of the roles are still alive or not since everyone was still alive during the first night. If, in the future, something similar occurs, please don't reveal that you only got a pm from role X, since that would reveal that role X is still alive at that point. Also, it might be best to extend the day or night if someone signals in advance (s)he will not be able to sent a pm or participate in the discussion (such as Moar the coming weekend). Even if it concerns a night and the person in question does not have a night role, since the person in question could theoretically have a night role. Another option would be, if it is almost night and it looks someone who is going to be absent is not going to be lynched, for that person to sent you a pm in advance, there are however two roles where this is not really an option, the masons who would lose the chance to discuss during the night, and the crooked detective, who might accidentally take the same person into custody as the mafia kills (any other mafioso could simply leave the decision to his/her brothers in crime).
