Re: OT: SPF mafia round 7 - Return to Salem
I'm game. Here is your updated table.
Code:
Alive:
Thyiad......................Claimed drinker, saw NacRuno out night 2.
Goltar......................Claimed drinker, saw NacRuno out night 1.
Bob
PureSummon..................Claimed drinker, saw Ray Patean out night 4.
friedbananazz...............Claimed cautious, [i]snoop by Merlin confirms townie[/i].
Naz.........................Claimed cautious, hasn't used ability yet.
Serdash.....................Claimed drinker, saw Puresummon out night 4.
Jason........................Claimed cautious.
Merlin......................Claimed Snoop.
maatiarna................... Claimed drinker, saw Ray Patean out night 3.
Dead:
Aman........................Agent, NKed night 1.
Ray.........................Goon, NKed night 6.
Lukin.......................Agent, lynched day 5.
Azador/SiTro................Agent, NKed night 2.
NacRuno.....................Rival Mafia, lynched day 2.
Nolecub.....................Townie, NKed night 4.
Zhao Yue....................Townie, NKed night 1.
Jaedhann....................Townie, lynched day 4.
Sint........................Agent, NKed night 4.
Magicboy....................Rival Mafia, lynched day 3.
W_m.........................Townie, NKed night 5.
Lister......................Rival Mafia, lynched day 1.
Liquid......................Claimed drinker, NKed night 3.
Bob is the only person left without a claimed role. However, the doc may have figured out the best thing for him/her to do is either to
not claim a role or
claim a cautious townie role .
Which leaves the following persons on my list for a potential doc role: Bob, Jason. Nazdakka might be the doc, if he decided it was no use trying to make a random save on night 1, but I find this unlikely.
Let's look at the dead mafia for a sec. the first one is lynched on day 1, lister. Same goes for NacRuno, on pretty much the same claim (both had been spotted as active on night 1). So it's safe to infer that these were genuine rival mafia(no greed). That leaves MagicBoy, who was lynched on the following day. His posts stayed the same durnig his three active days, little constructiveness, he kept posting recaps and suspicious lists, without adding much to the discussion. Since his behavior hasn't changed over those days, and he never claimed a role as well, I'd daresay the GREED victim was neither of the three.
So let's look at that last scumbag. Who can be converted? Obviously, it HAD to be done on night 2 or night 3. And they would in all likelyhood go after a selfconfessed townie, with drinkers being a better target then 'staying cautious' types. So who had claimed a townie role in the first two days?
Liquid Evil (dead), Nazdakka(he said on day 1 he chose the cautious ability),
Thyiad and Goltar were both out drinking.
Both showed consistent posting behavior throughout the game. Thyiad is off chasing moonbeams ever since day 2. For some reasons unclear to all, she has made it her personal vendetta to see Maatiarna dangling from a treetop with a noose around her neck. If she was recruited, it would be safest for her to continue her roleplaying as the 'random voter'
Goltar's posts are of high quality ever since day 1. Is it a cover? He professed outrage when his wife was NK'd a couple of nights ago, but this could very well be a smokescreen. He also states in his post yesterday that it would make little sense for the mafia to recruit someone who had outed one of their members, due to animosity. Perhaps good roleplaying, but poor logic, if you ask me
Finally, he said that MagicBoy would have been a likely Greed candidate days ago,
but he never gave a reason why.
Nazdakka - Targetting him may be a bit less likely, but then again, he was the man with the plan on day 1, and, as such, someone that might be trusted. Furthermore, his post pattern changed (he gave an explanation for this a few posts ago, but still). HE also made the first draft of the above table, which certainly does not make him innocent in my eyes, but does contribute in a helpful manner, and makes him an even less likely candidate in my book.
So my list from most likely bad guy/girl to least likely bad guy/girl has changed once again, but will stay this way for now:
1) Goltar
2) Thyiad
3) Nazdakka
Since I think the last bad guy/girl is the Greed victim, all other people now fall below my radar. They will remain there, unless someone can come up with a really good explanation why a person should be included.
(As for Jason, I got the impression he had a cautious townie claim going from day 1, inferred from (but certainly not admitted by) Jasons's post Re Naz's plan on day 1(...you can't make this plan work, because a lot of townies might have chosen to remain cautious...)). The Mafia might have picked up on this as well, but I don't consider him a likely target nevertheless.
For now, I will humor her and
Vote:Thyiad. Even if she isn't the last mafiosi, she means one less name on the suspect list, and people are already voting for her.
