Returning to the Roots - Mini mafia game

If I had to bet my coins on the 2nd mafioso at this time I'd say it's Kegs. They voted for eachother with Phil during d1 when they saw that the townies lynched one of their own without their help, creating more cover for themselves. That's a long shot though, but I'm not getting it from BA:
 
Same suspects remain for me. Top ones are Kestegs, Phillinnicus and now Ankeli. The main reason for the third is that Zokar seemed a bit suspicious of Ankeli Yesterday, asked him a question which went unanswered and now he ends up dead. Coincidence or not, I do not know. Phil looks to be scum as well, with lots of lurking in plain sight without any real contributions. Kestegs has been talked about at length Yesterday.

I see that your current suspect list is topped by Bad Ash and Phillinnicus. Are your suspicions of kestegs and Ankeli alleviated? If so, what caused those suspicions to wane?
 
Who were the two people? What were their cases? Did you agree or disagree with their cases?

You and Zokar, which were the two quotes you provided in the post I was responding to. They were largely the same case, but Zokar's was built upon yours I believe.

I would say that I could see the logic in their cases. If it had come down to it I would have voted her in favor of a no lynch, but I felt more strongly about phil and solar at that point.
 
I was overwhelmed in ASoIaF because it was my very first game, I had trouble keeping up with all the new lingo and people's trains of thoughts about the game. There was a lot of information to process.

I wrote this during N1 of the ASoIaF game:

Goryani said:
phillinnicus - new player. He's got the eager townie newbie vibe rather than the scared, I'm-in-the-deep-end-now scummy newbie vibe. Rather strange read considering so many players don't think "townie" is in the game. Maybe he's in a House/QT with good coaches. Yes, plural. He speculated that not every house/faction of the book is in the game. By my count, if every house has 2 players, there are several spots left for non-House members. Therefore, I conclude phillinnicus thinks Houses have more than 2 players. Ergo, he's in a house that already has more than 2 players. He mentioned specific rivalries between the bigger players (houses?). He said all the ideas are possible if not plausible. Strange because I see some mutually exclusive ideas. Seems familiar with the theme. He seemed interested in learning what abilities each group has. His group has abilities (plural). He wants to check players early posts based on the groups in the game to see if their posts seem scummy. Pro move of looking back and re-reading.

I didn't think you were overwhelmed. I didn't think you had trouble keeping up with new lingo. If you had a question you asked. You got your hands dirty by throwing out our own trains of thought.

Compare that to this game. Just about every good thing I have to say about your play last game is quite the opposite this game. The most disturbing trait I see in you I'll paraphrase as being afraid to speak unless spoken to. You aren't re-reading the thread. You say you should learn more about the roles in order to participate yet I don't see that you've actually done so.

Such an abrupt change in behavior is most commonly found when someone used to playing townie receives a mafia role for the first time. Townies aren't usually afraid to post their thoughts while mafia frequently are. They are afraid of slipping up and getting lynched. I'm not certain of your role PM in the ASoIaF game, but I think it's closer to townie than mafia. Therefore, you receiving a mafia role this game can still cause your change in behavior.

As for the crazy theories part of my post, I meant it in a general sort of sense. Not that there were really any crazy theories flying around but some of them are hard for me to get which makes them seem like stretches for me, this can only be fixed with more game experience and me actually taking the time to check the wiki.

Which theories were hard for you to get? Why didn't you ask questions if you had them?

Never did I complain about there not being much discussion, I just said that there wasn't that much discussion so far. A valid statement I guess, although the talk on possible role distribution (layouts) was the main topic of D1, and which caught Moar in a pickle.

Multiple times you mentioned lack of discussion as a reason why you weren't participating in the game. "Woe is me: I would participate more if only there was more discussion I could participate in" looks to be an accurate translation. If that isn't accurate, then why did you mention the lack of discussion? What goal did you hope to achieve?

I guess the point is: I should try and read up some more on roles and such and respond actively to D1 talk and discussion so I don't get caught in a situation like this.

Are you more worried about finding mafia or being lynched?
 
You don't seem afraid of possibly driving a second Lynch. Does this concern you? I almost just voted phil cause of that post and you were a strong reason for my moar vote as well (fair or not)

Thoughts?

Sent from my Galaxy Nexus using Tapatalk 2
 
To the others who have not voted (Gory, BA), what do you think of Phil?

This is a small game. One more mislynch = LYLO.

Phil isn't radiating towniness but neither are are lot of other players. Phil is acting scummy enough to vote. However, there are only two mafia yet more than two are acting scummy enough to vote for. One scummy player is townie. I'm not voting until I get a better read on which one it is.
 
You don't seem afraid of possibly driving a second Lynch. Does this concern you? I almost just voted phil cause of that post and you were a strong reason for my moar vote as well (fair or not)

Thoughts?

Sent from my Galaxy Nexus using Tapatalk 2

I think it's incorrect to say I'd be driving a second lynch today when Phillinnicus was already a L-1 (for a moment) before I made that post.

I want Phillinnicus to engage and respond and talk in the hopes of determining if he is townie. I don't know how to get him to talk without directing things his way since he doesn't seem to participate in anything else this game.

See also post 168. D2 in a normal game doesn't usually come with the issue of too many scum to be scum.
 
These are all the Moar votes. Something looks hinky to me. What I notice first is lack of discussion. I've seen cops announce a guilty verdict with more discussion than that. The second thing I notice is that if someone agrees with me, they quote post 96 instead of post 78. Perhaps post 78 isn't as clear as I think it is, but I don't see how post 96 is so utterly convincing while post 78 isn't.

Perhaps I should ask the non-Moar voters.

@ Ankeli, kestegs, Phillinnicus -
Is post 78 clearly not as understandable as post 96? Did it not convince you? Did it not make you curious enough to look back at Moar's posts in order to decide for yourself? Do you think a mafioso Moar voter just skipped over post 78 and instead latched onto post 96 because it's easier to justify? Which player do you think might have done so?

Taking notice of such things would be pulling at strings too thin to justify anything imo. I don't know, can't tell and hence, can't really say anything about it.

My vote however will still find it's way to the same place as it did yesterday. Oh so eager to latch onto a possible train on me for not answering one, rather insignificant question.

Vote: Phillinnicus

In all honesty, when you guys starting talking about roles and situations in which roles do this and that and so on; I just completely glazed over it. I kept getting lost, so I just didn't even think about it anymore.

Also, I was just kinda ragey at kestegs for putting me on an innocent little scumlist. :P So I didn't really bother changing my vote because it looked like Moar was going to be locked anyway.

I think when 2 people make a compelling case it's a lot easier to get on board.

Highlighting the questions and answers.

@Bad Ash, Solar Ice, Gwaihir

If you asked the questions I asked, would you be satisfied with the answers? Does any answer look townie to you? Does any answer look scummy to you?
 
I think it's incorrect to say I'd be driving a second lynch today when Phillinnicus was already a L-1 (for a moment) before I made that post.

I want Phillinnicus to engage and respond and talk in the hopes of determining if he is townie. I don't know how to get him to talk without directing things his way since he doesn't seem to participate in anything else this game.

See also post 168. D2 in a normal game doesn't usually come with the issue of too many scum to be scum.

Highlighting the questions and answers.

@Bad Ash, Solar Ice, Gwaihir

If you asked the questions I asked, would you be satisfied with the answers? Does any answer look townie to you? Does any answer look scummy to you?


I think its a fair assessment, and I agree that diverting behavior is usually a good tell.


Unvote: Solar Ice
Vote: Phillinnicus
 
I wrote this during N1 of the ASoIaF game:



I didn't think you were overwhelmed. I didn't think you had trouble keeping up with new lingo. If you had a question you asked. You got your hands dirty by throwing out our own trains of thought.

Compare that to this game. Just about every good thing I have to say about your play last game is quite the opposite this game. The most disturbing trait I see in you I'll paraphrase as being afraid to speak unless spoken to. You aren't re-reading the thread. You say you should learn more about the roles in order to participate yet I don't see that you've actually done so.

Such an abrupt change in behavior is most commonly found when someone used to playing townie receives a mafia role for the first time. Townies aren't usually afraid to post their thoughts while mafia frequently are. They are afraid of slipping up and getting lynched. I'm not certain of your role PM in the ASoIaF game, but I think it's closer to townie than mafia. Therefore, you receiving a mafia role this game can still cause your change in behavior.



Which theories were hard for you to get? Why didn't you ask questions if you had them?



Multiple times you mentioned lack of discussion as a reason why you weren't participating in the game. "Woe is me: I would participate more if only there was more discussion I could participate in" looks to be an accurate translation. If that isn't accurate, then why did you mention the lack of discussion? What goal did you hope to achieve?



Are you more worried about finding mafia or being lynched?
Last game, I always, always considered myself mafia from the start. I was a wraith from the very start, paired with the WW's. I didn't see how I could have been townie.
I think I find being mafia much easier to play, townie is harder because you get less information and can't have as much of an informed discussion with a mafia partner for example. With being a townie, it's all theories and suspicions, mafia has more information and you can formulate more direct plans.
As for theories that I found hard, was this entire Moar thing. I didn't understand what anyone was saying. I kept telling myself to check the wiki but I've kept putting it off because of studying for exams/slacking off and playing Dungeon Defenders. :P
I didn't ask questions because I thought I was already being too excessive in my questions in the previous game, so I tried avoiding asking any really this game.
Mentioning lack of discussion was a way for me to explain why I wasn't participating in discussion, such as the Moar thing. By saying that there wasn't that much it saved me from asking a bunch of questions and bogging the thread down with them. It was a weak excuse for me to continue being lazy.
I'm worried about being mislynched because of my lack of initiative in actually learning the game better. I feel bad because I'm not as focused on the game as everyone else.

I'm going to go through the wiki again now, just so I can get a better idea of the game in general. If someone had a question they wanted answered just ask me again.
 
Vote: kestegs

I'm late for a dinner party so the reasons will have to wait. Townie points for anyone who comes up with some by the time I get back.

So you want others to do your dirty work?

who made you the authority on giving out townie points? Sounds like you think you've got town cred all of a sudden.
 
So you want others to do your dirty work?

I'd bet that I have reasons no one else comes up with but I don't think anyone would take the bet.

who made you the authority on giving out townie points? Sounds like you think you've got town cred all of a sudden.

I'm the sole authority for all points I give out whether the points are townie or scum. If you want to give out points then do so.
 
I'd bet that I have reasons no one else comes up with but I don't think anyone would take the bet.



I'm the sole authority for all points I give out whether the points are townie or scum. If you want to give out points then do so.

my urge to vote you is strong.
 
The reasons...

Yes, jail+cop seems the worst for mafia, while doc only is probably the best for mafia.

Jailer has a 1/9 of catching mafia right now and cop has a 2/9. Doc can never actually catch mafia, although they can sort of confirm a townie if nobody dies.

From a jailer's point of view, they have less than a 1/9 chance to catch mafia since they don't know if saved the victim or blocked the hitman. From a mafia point of view, the jailer has a 1/9 chance to block the mafia hitman. This post looks closer to the mafia point of view than townie point of view and it also occurred before the goon = hitman breadcrumb.

Kestegs, apart from giving us some Forum Mafia statistics, have you anything else to add? As a hardcore spammer, your lack of activity is already giving me a huge Scum read on you. Bad Ash looks to be doing some serious LAMIST action.

Vote: kestegs
Sorry for having a life outside of mafia.

I didn't even really do the things you said, but whatever. If you rally think that me "lurking" is a scum tell, then okay I guess.

My list:

Gory: first vote is a bit troubling
Phil: he's felt scummy all game, can't exactly put it to words, but it's there past what others have said.
Solar: omgus if you will, but it's a piss poor reason to vote for me and he knows it.

This post has a couple of things.

As of Solar Ice's post, kestegs made post 21, 24 and 28. Post 21 and 24 were OT type posts. Post 28 contained statistics in a manner found in many mafia games.

I disagree with SI that kestegs didn't spam. I think 21 and 24 are indicative of typical kestegs postings. Despite that, kestegs didn't correct SI. kestegs accepted SI's premise that kestegs wasn't his usual self. Accepting the premise of a question is commonly done to ingratiate one's self with the question asker. Politicians do it in interviews and press conferences. Criminals do it under interrogation. Mafia have done it. If they do it, it's usually in a deflecting manner and that's what this post appears to do. SI's main question looks to be "do you have anything else to add" and a result of kestegs reply is a scumlist.

The main reason I'm quoting this post is the reason given for Phillinnicus' placement on the scumlist. By itself, that isn't disturbing. When I asked kestegs about the chicken and egg scenario, I knew kestegs mentioned already having a scummy opinion of Phillinnicus. I asked kestegs which posts (made before post 61) led to that opinion. kestegs reply pointed to posts made around post 85. It looks like kestegs knew Phillinnicus was scummy even before Phillinnicus made the statements that made him look scummy. Time travel!

That was sarcasm. Apology accepted rejected.

I think enough questions have been asked and those two people have already responded to my satisfaction or not posted since the questions have been posed and I have no further questions at this time.

There's no reason to vote right now, I only vote early if I'm actually convinced of something, not just on suspicion.

Post 64. Just pointing out the underlined sentence. I'll reference it later.

I can agree that I also have never associated goon with hitman.

This post occurrred 1min after kestegs replied to several phillinnicus posts and included a vote.

It's a textbook mafia ploy. I recognize it because I've done it many times. He has options. Not voting Moar isn't too scummy since he's voting is primary suspect. Later voting Moar wouldn't be too scummy because he agreed with the reason given to vote Moar. There are reasons and explanations for any course of action he takes. Additionally, this post throws support for a Moar lynch. Posts like this make it easier for others to vote Moar.

I'm not sure if I would have unvoted Moar if I saw this post before the end of the day but I would have definitely raised a ruckus.

I will also add that what are the chances that at least one of those on the Moar train is Mafia?
High I'd say.

I won't be around a lot today because of RL.

I'm still suspicious of phil and solar especially.

Another post with multiple issues.

"What are the chances that mafia are found among this group of players that doesn't include you?"
"High I'd say."

That's not an inaccurate translation. Finding mafia in a group of 4 players has better odds than finding mafia in a group of 7 players. A concensus that at least one mafioso among Moar votes has the effect of making it easy to ignore the non-Moar voters.

Another scumlist is given and it includes SI, who was a Moar voter. SI was on kestegs' D1 scum list as well. Funny thing though. Remember that underlined bit I said I would reference later? Look back at it now.

If kestegs said "those two people" posted to his satisfaction or not posted in post 64, why does 2 or the original 3 still appear on the scumlist in post 121? I take it I'm the "not posted" player of post 64. If so, then either SI or Phillinnicus should be the "responded to kestegs satisfaction" half. It looks like kestegs post 64 removes SI from the scumlist since Phillinnicus received attention and a vote. Why did SI go back on the scumlist?

It looks like post 64 is meant to get SI to back off. It looks like it worked.

I most certainly did, and I really didn't mince any words about how I felt about solar yesterday.

I didn't make the association with his post being role fishing until BA said it. I can see his point on it, but it's a little bit of a stretch. Either way, the post was super scummy.

I admit I had to look back and see if kestegs mentioned his reasons for saying SI was scum (looking back was when I picked up post 28 being relevant with a mafia hitman point of view).

What I see I wouldn't characterize as kestegs giving reasons SI is scummy. Instead, I see reasons why we shouldn't listen to SI when SI says kestegs is scummy. I urge everyone to look over kestegs D1 posts and post their thoughts on the matter. (In other words, how many players will read this sentence?)

I think when 2 people make a compelling case it's a lot easier to get on board.

How true. But who had the second case? I'd say it was you. Zokar posted after you did.

not at my comp, but it's the ones in response to me not giving him better info on why I think he's scummy.

I already referenced this.

I kinda meant to but kept forgetting. I don't see any reason to mass claim before lylo at the earliest.

Mass claim works best when it happens at least a couple days before LYLO. That would be today in case anyone is keeping track. I'm in favor of mass claim today. Perhaps surprisingly, I would have been fine with a mass claim on D1.

Not advocating a mass claim also makes it more like a cop or jailer keeps their yap shut. Their silence benefits mafia.

He's gotta do something to try and save his buddy doesn't he?

SI has a strange way of trying to save his scum buddy by placing his scum buddy at Lock-1. If phillinnicus and SI are scum buddies, I think bussing is the proper term. No way SI did what he did in order to try and save a fellow scum buddy. I know you've talked about bussing before so your lack of it's use here leads me to believe you don't truly think both SI and phillinnicus are scum.

You and Zokar, which were the two quotes you provided in the post I was responding to. They were largely the same case, but Zokar's was built upon yours I believe.

I would say that I could see the logic in their cases. If it had come down to it I would have voted her in favor of a no lynch, but I felt more strongly about phil and solar at that point.

More textbook mafia action. "I didn't vote for a townie that was lynched because TWO others were more suspicious." You would have voted to avoid a no lynch yet you also made sure to support the basic reason given by every voter.
 
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