vote: Moar
OK, I think we should figure out how everything stands. My summary looks like this:
DK
BPC - no flip
Drixx - noflip
Modkill
Leo - town dragoon
Vorle - town squire
Lynch
Gory - town squire
NK
CG - no flip
Pyro - no flip
Valhauros - no flip
Crawling Deadman - no flip
Killed in End of Day Post
Gwaihir - no flip
Does somebody care to verify I have my facts straight?
There are three guaranteed dead townies. Now if we make an assumption that maybe half of the seven other dead players were town then that would bring the total dead townies to 6 or 7. Of course that's just a guess.
Given that 11 of the original 21 are still playing, that means roughly half of the original total group of players have been eliminated. If my guess holds true then the number of town people killed would represent over half of those who are dead, or over 1/4 of the original total group of players.
What percentage of the starting group of players would have been town? I have only played one game before so I'm not really sure how ratios usually work. Obviously we'll only be able to guess, but I'm just trying to get my head around the current lay of the land.
Also, do you guys have any suggestions about a better way to think of things?
Fell over this post while rereading. FF experts - how likely is it that a chemist role would be in game, and is it possible that this role would have a poison ability?
Yeah, Chemist is extremely likely. In fact, I'd be surprised if there wasn't a Chemist. It's one of the 2 base classes that all others are built upon (Squire for warriors, Chemists for mages). IWantToUseNumbers is right, FFT Chemists were a purely beneficial support job. Later though, they could equip guns that shoot magic! Technomancy ftw!A chemist is very likely. In tactics at least though, there was no poisoning caused by chemists. AFAIK, poison has always been a black mage spell.
Ahh, ninja'd me! Like I said in my post, when I voted for Gory (bottom of #421), I said I wasn't gonna claim while he was still alive.Bad Ash: Squire
Coju: Chemist
Tehcno: No Claim
Numbers: No Claim
Jcakes: White Mage
Eric the Fred: No claim
Gold: Squire
Noodle: Refused to claim
Moar: Black Mage
Zokar: Squire
Antswers: Knight
I put Noodle down as refused to claim as he provided a reason not to claim. Techno, numbers and Frod didn't claim and didn't post any reason not to claim. Unless I missed something.
My thoughts on people:
- Well, I've been skeptical since the beginning, but I think I'm believing Zokar now. Unless something else comes up, I think he's probably clean.
- Moar smoked Drixx super fast, which is f'd up, but otherwise hasn't been giving me much in scummy vibes and the story seems to check out. Not sure, but not really ready to vote yet.
- I've been on the fence about BA, but the Squire read from JCakes lends some credibility.
- I haven't had any scum read from JCakes, so I'm leaning toward believing his claim.
- Coju seems to be expressing a lot of the same thoughts I have, especially about Goryani, and he feels above board to me.
- Noodle has been super-lurky, if I was in lynch-all-lurkers mode, he'd be at the top of the list.
- Goldtru hasn't been giving me much concern since yesterday. I wasn't around to post while the fire-fight was going on, but my own emotions were running pretty high while reading it all, so I can't judge her reactions too harshly.
...I don't have many explicit feelings about anyone else atm.
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- Gory:
IWantToUseNumbers has it right. What do you do when you're not sure who is scum? What can you do with your vote? So far this has left us with NOTHING to go on.
Anyway, I've been getting a strange vibe off of you all game and it keeps getting worse and worse. I do not see you as town at all. You are right about one thing, I should vote for scum.
Vote: Goryani
You tout messed up strategy. You suggest a mass-claim then refuse to claim. If you're not gonna claim, I'm not gonna claim until you're gone. You've been hitting scum notes everyday, and now I hear the tune loud and clear.
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I don't think I've ever survived long enough in a game for it to come up! Seems kind of odd to me too, but I'm not a mid-to-late-game veteran.
@ jCakesTo be honest I think I am the most suspicious of Techno and BA. Techno because of this post (particularly in relation to me). He states
"I haven't had any scum read from JCakes, so I'm leaning toward believing his claim." I don't think I've posted enough for anyone to really have a read on me in either direction. It feels to me an attempt to get close to someone that he knows is town for more town cred. The other bit that strikes me somewhat is the comment about BA "I've been on the fence about BA, but the Squire read from JCakes lends some credibility." The Squire read in no way shows BA to be town, in fact I think it is very likely there are some mafia squires around. Finally no claim yesterday while posting quite a bit and querying who my N1 target was (Frod did this as well) raises some alarms. Also he capatilises the C in Jcakes which is an obv scum tell.
No. I don't like crunching numbers, they make me nervous, especially these numbers. I already explained at length why I'm voting for Moar.
To be honest I think I am the most suspicious of Techno and BA. Techno because of this post (particularly in relation to me). He states
"I haven't had any scum read from JCakes, so I'm leaning toward believing his claim." I don't think I've posted enough for anyone to really have a read on me in either direction. It feels to me an attempt to get close to someone that he knows is town for more town cred. The other bit that strikes me somewhat is the comment about BA "I've been on the fence about BA, but the Squire read from JCakes lends some credibility." The Squire read in no way shows BA to be town, in fact I think it is very likely there are some mafia squires around. Finally no claim yesterday while posting quite a bit and querying who my N1 target was (Frod did this as well) raises some alarms. Also he capatilises the C in Jcakes which is an obv scum tell.
Actually, AAA, I"m not really certain of the general thrust of your train of thought. You spelled out the information we now have(although you should have included the claims people made yesterday in your summary), but I'm not sure what you're saying exactly?
My thing about numbers didn't have anything to do with Moar. I just started trying to figure out where things stand given the slew of deaths to this point.
I was asking for an explanation about the Moar vote because lots of things are being said in discussions and I was hoping for a succinct summary. I was pretty shocked with the suddenness of the Day Kills of BPC and Drixx but I haven't yet been able to make sense of that or really figure out a voting strategy of which I am confident.