Re: Ravenwood Retreat Mafia Game.
Geez, I sleep in a bit, stay in my room playing LA Noire (whilst trying to catch Mafia baddies in it) and wake up to this huh?
It's both rare and strange to see a NK in the first morning. Would there be any reason for the mafia members to purposefully skip the first kill? Would that actually be an useful strategy?
I can think of one very good reason for a mafia team to punt upfield on Night 0 instead of sending in a kill - the obvious drawback may be worth it under those circumstances, plus the lack of any kind of information for the town at large mitigates the inactivity even further.
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Assuming you meant "rare and strange to NOT see a NK..."
Not sending in a kill as a useful strategy should require a whole lot more knowledge than is available N1. To put it another way, if mafia already know enough to strategize not sending in a kill, then the town has a deep hole to climb out of. While I think it's more likely mafia intentionally not send in a kill than do so on accident, I can't imagine either happening N1. I would think they wait until a roleblocker is known and play the odds confuzzling the roleblocker.
The mafia may already have enough info to make a no-kill Night 0 worth it to them.
[...]
Technomancer #32 is a little too casual. Nervous scum worried about his NK failing perhaps.
Marahumm seems a bit too eager to check online statuses of players, but if he's scum and interested in possible PRs he could just check for himself and not mention anything to us.
But then again Noodle did something similar last game with Ankeli so Marahumm might have just slipped and not thought of checking himself.
Gorny is doing his best to be active but not mention anything game related. Same as last game. Sure you have on opinion about something, eh?
Unvote: Ankeli
Vote: Gorny
I like this post a lot and it also gels with my own initial read of Gorny - which I won't publicise so early in the game.
Not sure we can hope for a big slip-up from "Mafia Mara" so soon after his previous one-and-only mis-step. I am guessing there is nothing conclusive to be drawn from it.
Technomancer - hmmm ... we'll see perhaps.
Seriously? Every game I've ever played with Gorny, and he's done this regardless of whether he is town or anti-town. To vote someone on such a flimsy read... Are you just trying to get rid of strong players? sounds scummy to me.
Unvote: Zarniwoop
Vote: Sathoris
Alarm bell rang with this jumping to the defence of Gorny. Day 1 votes from Townies are
always flimsy!
Sigh, twas just to get gorny talking about it. Incase you didn't notice last game. I always place votes on people to get them talking about it.
Now mine wasn't adressed to you, but you reacted nonetheless...
Techno, Gorny, Asrrin scumteam.
I don't dislike this proposition - for a Day 1, this looks relatively solid.
Factoring in a possible role blocker, a bus driver switch to a blocked player etc. would increase the percentage closer to 15. I'd say 15% is more likely than 3-4 mafia members all being offline for the night period.
Slightly straw-man-argument, this. All it takes is one mafia member being late with a last-minute PM. Not a great stretch.
I have no real thoughts on why there was no NK - literally all there is to work with is theories, but no data.
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I was going to leave my random vote in place until something better came along - which it has.
Unvote: Technomancer
Vote: Gorny
Let's get some traction on the day.
it would've come in handy about a year and a half ago.... 
