I felt that Kitteh was most likely town the day before, so I'd put it at 75% town/25% mafia.
Now, I think that I jumped the gun out of sympathy for another new player. The posts seem a lot more scummy to me now so I'd put it at 75% mafia/25% town.
Does that answer your question? I'm not entirely sure I get what you mean.
Just for clarification: "the day before" means D1 and not twilight?